Logistic Regressions Analysis of the Dropout of Adult-Learners in Higher Distance Education

Suna Kyun; Kim Myungjin; SEO HEEJEONG; Kim, Min-Jeong

doi:https://doi.org/10.26857/JLLS.2020.11.16.4.149

Journal of Lifelong Learning Society

Abbr : JLLS
2020, 16(4), pp.149-169
DOI :https://doi.org/10.26857/JLLS.2020.11.16.4.149
Publisher : Institute of Distance Education
Research Area : Education

Suna Kyun ¹ , Kim Myungjin ² , SEO HEEJEONG ³ , Kim, Min-Jeong ⁴

¹ 숙명여자대학교
² 한국방송통신대학교
³ 한양사이버대학교
⁴ 숙명여자대학교

ABSTRACT

This study explored the factors that influence adult learners attending an institute of higher distance education, on their drop-out or academic persistence in the first semester. To do this, university administrative data, such as admission applications, academic activities(e.g., the numbers of assignments submitted, attendance to class etc), and academic results(e.g., GPA, scholarships), was analysed. First, the collected data of 43,669 students were analysed to confirm trends with frequency analysis followed by the difference analysis of each factor depending on whether to register for the second semester through the frequency analysis and descriptive statistics, and finally the logistic regressions analysis was conducted to determine the factors affecting the registration status of the second semester. As results, individual characteristics (e.g., gender, grade, major etc.), learning activities (e.g., the number of assignments submitted etc.) and learning results (e.g., GPA, scholarships) of adult learners were derived ad decisive factors in the academic persistence of adult learners. Based on these results, the implications were discussed.
KEYWORDS

higher distance education , adult learners , academic persistence , drop-out , logistic regressions analysis
REFERENCES (34)

[report] 권선아 / 2019 / 방송대에서의 빅데이터 활용방안 탐색 및 활용모델 발굴 연구 / 한국방송통신대학교 원격교육연구소

[journal] 권혜진 / 2010 / The Effects of Personal, Institutional, Social Variables on Determination of The Cyber University Students' Dropout Intention / 한국콘텐츠학회 논문지 / 한국콘텐츠학회 10 (3) : 404~412

[journal] 김성식 / 2008 / A exploratory study on withdrawal and transfer of Korean college students : the influence of college-choice reason and satisfaction afterwards / 한국교육 / 한국교육개발원 35 (1) : 227~249 / 10.22804/jke.2008.35.1.010

[journal] 김수연 / 2003 / Exploring Early Attrition of Korean Two-year Private College Freshmen with Transfer Plan to Four-year Colleges / 교육사회학연구 / 한국교육사회학회 13 (2) : 95~115

[journal] 김수연 / 2006 / A Study on Exploring the Academic Persistence and Dropout of Korean Universities and Colleges' Students / 한국교육 / 한국교육개발원 33 (4) : 33~62

[report] 남신동 / 2014 / 방송대생 학업지속률 제고를 위한 학업중단경험의 제유형 및결정요인의 분석 / 한국방송통신대학교 원격교육연구소

[journal] 노혜란 / 2008 / A Study on Exploring the Dropouts in Korean University / 인적자원개발연구 / 한국인적자원개발학회 11 (1) : 89~107

[web] / 2020 / 사이버대학통계자료 / 사이버대학종합정보 / http://www.cuinfo.net/home/eudc/statistics.sub.action?gnb=55&gubunNm=univ&sttYear=2018

[journal] 소병한 / 2015 / An Analysis on the Causes of Dropout in Junior College: Focused on the Indirect Effects of College Experiences / 교육행정학연구 / 한국교육행정학회 33 (3) : 405~426

[journal] 연보라 / 2015 / Temporal aspects and determinants of college student departure / 교육사회학연구 / 한국교육사회학회 25 (1) : 129~155 / 10.32465/ksocio.2015.25.1.006

[journal] 이병식 / 2003 / an exploratory analysis of institutional influences on college student withdrawal / 교육학연구 / 한국교육학회 41 (2) : 135~154

[journal] 이은화 / 2019 / The Research Trends and Implications of College Dropouts in Korea / 학습자중심교과교육연구 / 학습자중심교과교육학회 19 (10) : 169~199 / http://dx.doi.org/10.22251/jlcci.2019.19.10.169

[journal] 이필남 / 2012 / Exploring Determinants of Delayed Graduation and Dropout of 4-year College Female Students / 교육행정학연구 / 한국교육행정학회 30 (1) : 207~233

[journal] 임소현 / 2013 / Impacts of Financial Factors of Private Colleges on Student Dropout Rates / 교육재정경제연구 / 한국교육재정경제학회 22 (2) : 83~113

[journal] 임언 / 2011 / College Students' Leave of Absence Types and Related Factors / 직업교육연구 / 한국직업교육학회 30 (2) : 231~248

[journal] 임연욱 / 2007 / A Subatantial Study on the Relationship between Students' Variables and Dropout in Cyber University / 정보교육학회논문지 / 한국정보교육학회 11 (2) : 205~219

[journal] 전주성 / 2010 / Identifying At-risk Learners at a Cyber University / Andragogy Today: Interdisciplinary Journal of Adult & Continuing Education (IJACE) / 한국성인교육학회 13 (1) : 121~139 / 10.22955/ace.13.1.201003.121

[journal] 정영란 / 2016 / Analysis on factors affecting the retention rate in cyber university / 교육방법연구 / 한국교육방법학회 28 (4) : 791~814 / 10.17927/tkjems.2016.28.4.791

[journal] 정주영 / 2017 / An Exploratory Study on Dropout Intention of Cyber University Students / 한국교육문제연구 / 한국교육문제연구소 35 (4) : 149~168 / http://dx.doi.org/10.22327/kei.2017.35.4.149

[report] 정연희 / 2017 / 세대별 방송대 학습요구 분석 및 학생자원창출방안 연구 / 한국방송통신대학교 원격교육연구소

[report] 정혜령 / 2015 / 방송대 학습자의 학업지속 장애요인 극복 방안 / 한국방송통신대학교원격교육연구소

[journal] 주영주 / 2007 / An In-depth Analysis of Dropout Factors based on Cyber University Student's Dropout Experiences / 교육정보미디어연구 / 한국교육정보미디어학회 13 (3) : 209~233

[journal] 주휘정 / 2011 / An Analysis of Factors Affecting Four-Year College Students' Stop-Out / 교육행정학연구 / 한국교육행정학회 29 (1) : 277~293

[book] 홍세희 / 2005 / 이항 및 다항 로지스틱 회귀분석 / 교육과학사

[journal] Aina, C. / 2013 / Parental background and university dropout in Italy / Higher Education 65 (4) : 437~456 / 10.1007/s10734-012-9554-z

[journal] Araque, F. / 2009 / Factors infl uencing university dropout rates / Computers & Education 53 (3) : 563~574 / 10.1016/j.compedu.2009.03.013

[journal] Casanova, J. R. / 2018 / Factors that determine the persistence and dropout of university students / Psicothema 30 (4) : 408~414

[journal] DesJardins, S. L. / 1999 / An event history model of student departure / Economics of Education Review 18 (3) : 375~390

[journal] Garrison, D. R. / 1987 / Researching dropout in distance education / Distance Education 8 (1) : 95~101

[book] Hossler, D. / 2009 / Higher education: Handbook of theory and research / Springer : 389~425

[journal] Kember, D. / 1989 / A longitudinal process model of drop-out from distance education / Journal of Higher Education 60 (3) : 278~301

[book] Leslie, L. L. / 1988 / The economic value of higher education / American Council on Education/MacMillan

[journal] Spady, W. G. / 1970 / Dropouts from higher education : An interdisciplinary review and synthesis / Interchange 1 (1) : 64~85

[journal] Stratton, L. S. / 2008 / A multinomial logit model of college stopout and dropout behavior / Economics of Education Review 27 (3) : 319~331 / 10.1016/j.econedurev.2007.04.003.
KCI Citation (4)

KJC Korea
Journal Central

Statistics

Tools