Using aggregate data, this study developed a composite index for the housing market and applied it to the analysis of the housing market’s cycle and crisis stages. A total of 40 variables were used to create the index, including 24 variables from Korea's Real Estate Market Early Warning System (EWS). After converting each individual variable into a level or rate of change in consideration of each characteristic, we controlled for seasonal and irregular factors using the X-12 method and standardized using mean and standard deviation. Subsequently, the first and second factors were extracted using principal component analysis, and the composite index was calculated by applying the eigenvalue for each factor to the component score as a weight. Results reveal that the first factor that preceded the housing market and a strong tendency to show the financial market’s situation, such as liquidity and interest rates, and the land market. The second factor was closely related to the lease market and was accompanied by housing prices and housing transactions. Finally, the index calculated in this study was used to analyze the national housing market's cyclical phase and crisis stages. Hence, when compared to the case of using a single variable such as housing prices and housing transactions, the index of this study had the advantage of clearly identifying the cycle and crisis stages. The housing market composite index created in this study using many variables can be a useful tool for monitoring the housing market by supplementing the existing EWS.
@article{ART002851003}, author={Hwang, Gwan Seok and Park, Chun Gyu}, title={A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index}, journal={Korea Real Estate Review}, issn={2092-5395}, year={2022}, volume={32}, number={2}, pages={21-33}, doi={10.35136/krer.32.2.2}
TY - JOUR AU - Hwang, Gwan Seok AU - Park, Chun Gyu TI - A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index JO - Korea Real Estate Review PY - 2022 VL - 32 IS - 2 PB - korea real estate research institute SP - 21 EP - 33 SN - 2092-5395 AB - Using aggregate data, this study developed a composite index for the housing market and applied it to the analysis of the housing market’s cycle and crisis stages. A total of 40 variables were used to create the index, including 24 variables from Korea's Real Estate Market Early Warning System (EWS). After converting each individual variable into a level or rate of change in consideration of each characteristic, we controlled for seasonal and irregular factors using the X-12 method and standardized using mean and standard deviation. Subsequently, the first and second factors were extracted using principal component analysis, and the composite index was calculated by applying the eigenvalue for each factor to the component score as a weight. Results reveal that the first factor that preceded the housing market and a strong tendency to show the financial market’s situation, such as liquidity and interest rates, and the land market. The second factor was closely related to the lease market and was accompanied by housing prices and housing transactions. Finally, the index calculated in this study was used to analyze the national housing market's cyclical phase and crisis stages. Hence, when compared to the case of using a single variable such as housing prices and housing transactions, the index of this study had the advantage of clearly identifying the cycle and crisis stages. The housing market composite index created in this study using many variables can be a useful tool for monitoring the housing market by supplementing the existing EWS. KW - Housing Market Composite Index;Principal Component Analysis;Cycle Phase;Crisis Stage DO - 10.35136/krer.32.2.2 ER -
Hwang, Gwan Seok and Park, Chun Gyu. (2022). A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index. Korea Real Estate Review, 32(2), 21-33.
Hwang, Gwan Seok and Park, Chun Gyu. 2022, "A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index", Korea Real Estate Review, vol.32, no.2 pp.21-33. Available from: doi:10.35136/krer.32.2.2
Hwang, Gwan Seok, Park, Chun Gyu "A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index" Korea Real Estate Review 32.2 pp.21-33 (2022) : 21.
Hwang, Gwan Seok, Park, Chun Gyu. A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index. 2022; 32(2), 21-33. Available from: doi:10.35136/krer.32.2.2
Hwang, Gwan Seok and Park, Chun Gyu. "A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index" Korea Real Estate Review 32, no.2 (2022) : 21-33.doi: 10.35136/krer.32.2.2
Hwang, Gwan Seok; Park, Chun Gyu. A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index. Korea Real Estate Review, 32(2), 21-33. doi: 10.35136/krer.32.2.2
Hwang, Gwan Seok; Park, Chun Gyu. A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index. Korea Real Estate Review. 2022; 32(2) 21-33. doi: 10.35136/krer.32.2.2
Hwang, Gwan Seok, Park, Chun Gyu. A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index. 2022; 32(2), 21-33. Available from: doi:10.35136/krer.32.2.2
Hwang, Gwan Seok and Park, Chun Gyu. "A Study on the Development of the Housing Market Composite Index" Korea Real Estate Review 32, no.2 (2022) : 21-33.doi: 10.35136/krer.32.2.2