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Analysis of Military Policy Making Process - Applying the Allison Model about the Panmunjom Axe Murder Incident -

  • Crisisonomy
  • Abbr : KRCEM
  • 2014, 10(1), pp.45-64
  • Publisher : Crisis and Emergency Management: Theory and Praxis
  • Research Area : Social Science > Public Policy > Public Policy in general

허출 1

1공군사관학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This paper analyzed the United States's military policy making process about the Panmunjom axe murder incident by using Allison model. Allison described three types of models such as the rational Actor(model I), Organizational Behavior(model Ⅱ) and Governmental Politics(Model Ⅲ). The five common factors used in the three models are Basic Unit of Analysis, Organizing Concepts, Dominant Inference Pattern, General Propositions and Evidence. These five common factors are used in the analysis for United States's military policy making process about the Panmunjom axe murder incident. However, the decision of a military policy includes very complex variables, the limit of human ability, unpredictable factor, very flexible international politics and crisis situation. Therefore, there is no a unique model to describe well the process of a military policy. Panmunjom axe murder incident was very serious, evoked within very short time and became a deep crisis enough to extend toward war. The decision of the policy was established in the difficult situation, and the whole strategies acted smoothly and ended successfully. The analysis result by using Allison's models about the military policy making process for Panmunjom axe murder incident illustrated that the model Ⅰ can explain the whole decision process. Even though model Ⅱ and model Ⅲ can explain in part, model Ⅰwas more suitable to explain the decision process than the other two models do. This suggested us that the model Ⅰ becomes the right model to make a decision of military policy for national security when the national crisis occurs. Therefore, it is ideal to induce rationally the decision of the diplomatic military policy by constituting an organically connected policy decision organization such as National Security Council.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.

This paper was written with support from the National Research Foundation of Korea.