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A System Dynamics Analysis of Urban Heat Waves

  • Crisisonomy
  • Abbr : KRCEM
  • 2019, 15(9), pp.39-48
  • DOI : 10.14251/crisisonomy.2019.15.9.39
  • Publisher : Crisis and Emergency Management: Theory and Praxis
  • Research Area : Social Science > Public Policy > Public Policy in general
  • Received : June 21, 2019
  • Accepted : September 27, 2019
  • Published : September 30, 2019

Yu Mi Kim 1,  Ban, Yong-un 1,  CHOI HYERIM 1,  Choi, Nam-Hee 2

1충북대학교
2한국교통대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

In this study, we analyzed the potential determinants of urban heat waves in Korea and their dynamic relationship using a system dynamics analysis approach. We developed an integrated causal loop diagram and identified the direct and indirect factors influencing urban heat waves. The followings are the main findings of this study. First, the rise of temperature in Korea is not simply due to the increase of impervious areas affected by urbanization but should be seriously recognized as a critical issue of heat waves which may lead to the annihilation of the areas. Second, for more accurate prediction of the temperature increase and development of effective policy responses, we need a new approach that focuses on a non-linear and dynamic relationship between urban heat wave process and urban safety. Third, it is critical to explore policy measures for maintaining socioeconomic conditions and improving the level of urban safety based on the multi-dimensional examination of causal relationships across various determinants for urban heat waves in South Korea.

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This paper was written with support from the National Research Foundation of Korea.
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