@article{ART002675836},
author={songyoungsuck and Lee, Hyeongjun and Kim Byung Sik and Moo Jong Park},
title={Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River},
journal={Crisisonomy},
issn={2466-1198},
year={2020},
volume={16},
number={12},
pages={35-47},
doi={10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35}
TY - JOUR
AU - songyoungsuck
AU - Lee, Hyeongjun
AU - Kim Byung Sik
AU - Moo Jong Park
TI - Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River
JO - Crisisonomy
PY - 2020
VL - 16
IS - 12
PB - Crisis and Emergency Management: Theory and Praxis
SP - 35
EP - 47
SN - 2466-1198
AB - Impact forecasting has been applied to estimate flood damage in many different countries based on accurate weather forecasts. This study develops a model forecasting the impact of rainfall on riverside flood risks in the Busan Metropolitan City. The rainfall impact forecasting equations were obtained on a 1km x 1km grid with respect to water levels and critical rainfall thresholds. Critical rainfall was determined based on the end point of river and the discharge-water level relationship between design flood discharge and design flood level by analyzing water-rainfall in 3-hour critical rainfall. Model verification was performed using a heavy rain event with a total of 283.3 mm from July 22 to 24, 2020. According to the rainfall impact forecasting, 60 to 70% of the design flood level (“MEDIUM” alert) was issued on rivers between 10-11pm on July 23. In the rivers where the rainfall impact alert was issued, actual damages were found such as flooded roads and floodplain, which confirmed the appropriateness of the model. The high model accuracy was also validated by comparing the alert standard for water level with forecasted rainfall impact at the water level station in Suyeong River.
KW - rainfall impact forecasting;disaster reduction;critical rainfall;rainfall impact level;river
DO - 10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
ER -
songyoungsuck, Lee, Hyeongjun, Kim Byung Sik and Moo Jong Park. (2020). Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River. Crisisonomy, 16(12), 35-47.
songyoungsuck, Lee, Hyeongjun, Kim Byung Sik and Moo Jong Park. 2020, "Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River", Crisisonomy, vol.16, no.12 pp.35-47. Available from: doi:10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
songyoungsuck, Lee, Hyeongjun, Kim Byung Sik, Moo Jong Park "Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River" Crisisonomy 16.12 pp.35-47 (2020) : 35.
songyoungsuck, Lee, Hyeongjun, Kim Byung Sik, Moo Jong Park. Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River. 2020; 16(12), 35-47. Available from: doi:10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
songyoungsuck, Lee, Hyeongjun, Kim Byung Sik and Moo Jong Park. "Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River" Crisisonomy 16, no.12 (2020) : 35-47.doi: 10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
songyoungsuck; Lee, Hyeongjun; Kim Byung Sik; Moo Jong Park. Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River. Crisisonomy, 16(12), 35-47. doi: 10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
songyoungsuck; Lee, Hyeongjun; Kim Byung Sik; Moo Jong Park. Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River. Crisisonomy. 2020; 16(12) 35-47. doi: 10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
songyoungsuck, Lee, Hyeongjun, Kim Byung Sik, Moo Jong Park. Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River. 2020; 16(12), 35-47. Available from: doi:10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
songyoungsuck, Lee, Hyeongjun, Kim Byung Sik and Moo Jong Park. "Developing a Rainfall Impact Forecasting Model for Disaster Mitigation around the River" Crisisonomy 16, no.12 (2020) : 35-47.doi: 10.14251/crisisonomy.2020.16.12.35
