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Structural Change in Sectoral Investment Expenditures of Korean Construction Market

김의준 1 Jeong-whan Lee ORD ID 2 Park, Seungkyu 3

1서울대학교
2건국대학교
3연세대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

his paper analyzes a structural change and a stability in values of construction orders received in Korea from the first quarter of 1976 to the first quarter of 2002, using the ADF test and LR test for structural breaks. The Results of Likelihood Ratio Test shows that the break points are the fourth quarter of 1993 for the architecture sector, the fourth quarter of 1997 for the seaport/airport and the railroad sector, the first quarter of 1998 for the road/bridge sector, and the first quarter of 1995 for the water/sewage sector. Also, the significant structural change occurred in the foreign construction market in 1983. These are attributed to 1) the Housing Construction Plan(1988~1992) to build up two million housing, 2) the 1997's financial crisis in Korea which caused high interest and foreign exchange rates, and 3) world's economic recovery and slowdown in the Middle East construction industry in 1983. The Comprehensive National Physical Development Plans(1992~2001) could induce up and down of construction investments in the regional markets, focusing on the promotion of the nationally balanced development.

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Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.