@article{ART001806858},
author={김동한},
title={Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea},
journal={The Korea Spatial Planning Review},
issn={1229-8638},
year={2013},
volume={78},
pages={3-17},
doi={10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001}
TY - JOUR
AU - 김동한
TI - Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea
JO - The Korea Spatial Planning Review
PY - 2013
VL - 78
IS - null
PB - 국토연구원
SP - 3
EP - 17
SN - 1229-8638
AB - Since the 1990’s cellular automata urban models have been effective tools to study spontaneous land use change and urban growth and to understand various alternative spatial futures. This research uses the cellular automata urban model Metoronamica to simulate urban growth of Seoul Metropolitan Area up until 2030. In order to consider diverse determinants of urban growth and to see alternative futures, it designs three scenarios such as business as usual, deregulation of greenbelts, and introduction of new high speed rail system GTX and then conducts simulation for each scenario. This study showed a way of understanding urban growth process and of planning support with a dynamic urban growth simulation model. Spontaneous growth without any further investment or regulation is likely to result in continuing leapfrog development. Deregulation of greenbelt could absorb spontaneous growth in further part of the SMA but it would harm previously protected areas near Seoul city. Introduction of GTX would promote polycentric urban structure and mitigates dispersed development pattern. Although the study considered a limited number of scenarios and factors, it brought meaningful implications for the future growth of the SMA.
KW - Cellular Automata Model;Metronamica;Urban Model;Land Use Change;Urban Planning
DO - 10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
ER -
김동한. (2013). Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea. The Korea Spatial Planning Review, 78, 3-17.
김동한. 2013, "Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea", The Korea Spatial Planning Review, vol.78, pp.3-17. Available from: doi:10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
김동한 "Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea" The Korea Spatial Planning Review 78 pp.3-17 (2013) : 3.
김동한. Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea. 2013; 78 3-17. Available from: doi:10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
김동한. "Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea" The Korea Spatial Planning Review 78(2013) : 3-17.doi: 10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
김동한. Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea. The Korea Spatial Planning Review, 78, 3-17. doi: 10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
김동한. Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea. The Korea Spatial Planning Review. 2013; 78 3-17. doi: 10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
김동한. Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea. 2013; 78 3-17. Available from: doi:10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
김동한. "Simulating Urban Growth with the Metronamica Model: A Case Study on the Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea" The Korea Spatial Planning Review 78(2013) : 3-17.doi: 10.15793/kspr.2013.78..001
