본문 바로가기
  • Home

Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Occupational Skills in the Capital Region, Korea: A Spatial Markov Chain Approach

So Hyeon Lee 1 CHANGHYUN SONG 1 Up Lim 1

1연세대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study aims to predict the spatio-temporal distribution of occupational skills in the capital region by applying the spatial Markov chain model, which combines local spatial statistics with the classic Markov chain. This study calculates the local specialization index of occupational skills in 2000 and 2015 for 70 cities, constructs the transition matrix of the spatial Markov chain model, and then attempts to predict the distribution of occupation skills in 2030. According to our results, cognitive and social skills were found to be more affected by the surrounding area than technical and manual skills. The intensified spatial concentration of cognitive skill and social skill, which are somewhat less likely to be replaced by the development of automation technology, ultimately reveal that the geographic inequality of the labor market will have been intensified. This study suggests that it is necessary to adopt the place-based policy approach considering the spatial effect of occupational skill.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.