@article{ART003383259},
author={Lee Bong Kyu},
title={PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge},
journal={ Journal of Software Forensics},
issn={3092-541X},
year={2026},
volume={22},
number={3},
pages={133-139}
TY - JOUR
AU - Lee Bong Kyu
TI - PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge
JO - Journal of Software Forensics
PY - 2026
VL - 22
IS - 3
PB - Korea Software Assessment and Valuation Society
SP - 133
EP - 139
SN - 3092-541X
AB - Operating an Energy Storage System (ESS) requires scheduling the charging and discharging times.
For effective scheduling of photovoltaic (PV)-coupled ESS, it is necessary to forecast PV power generation in advance and use the forecasts for charge–discharge decision-making. However, accurate PV power forecasting is challenging because PV output varies substantially with meteorological conditions and changes in solar position. In this study, we propose a LightGBM-based multi-class classification model that predicts PV generation levels using weather forecasts and historical generation data. The proposed model outputs three generation-level categories—low, medium, and high—normalized by installed capacity.
The model is trained and evaluated using data collected from 32 PV facilities installed on Jeju Island.
KW - Photovoltaic (PV);Charge/Discharge;Multi-class Prediction Model;Category;Jeju Island
DO -
UR -
ER -
Lee Bong Kyu. (2026). PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge. Journal of Software Forensics, 22(3), 133-139.
Lee Bong Kyu. 2026, "PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge", Journal of Software Forensics, vol.22, no.3 pp.133-139.
Lee Bong Kyu "PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge" Journal of Software Forensics 22.3 pp.133-139 (2026) : 133.
Lee Bong Kyu. PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge. 2026; 22(3), 133-139.
Lee Bong Kyu. "PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge" Journal of Software Forensics 22, no.3 (2026) : 133-139.
Lee Bong Kyu. PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge. Journal of Software Forensics, 22(3), 133-139.
Lee Bong Kyu. PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge. Journal of Software Forensics. 2026; 22(3) 133-139.
Lee Bong Kyu. PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge. 2026; 22(3), 133-139.
Lee Bong Kyu. "PV Power Forecasting Model for ESS Charge-Discharge" Journal of Software Forensics 22, no.3 (2026) : 133-139.
