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@article{ART003011482},
author={Park Sang Nam},
title={Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-},
journal={Analyses & Alternatives},
issn={2508-822X},
year={2023},
volume={7},
number={3},
pages={85-114},
doi={10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004}

TY - JOUR
AU - Park Sang Nam
TI - Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-
JO - Analyses & Alternatives
PY - 2023
VL - 7
IS - 3
PB - Korea Consensus Institute
SP - 85
EP - 114
SN - 2508-822X
AB - The purpose of this study is to analyze Russia-Central Asia relations since the launch of the EAEU in 2015 and forecast the future from a structural realism perspective. Bilateral relations have both elements of close cooperation and elements of conflict. Russia and Central Asia, which have the characteristics of an authoritarian alliance, also have a symbiotic relationship in which they have no choice but to cooperate with each other to maintain the regime. Based on this, Russia has made various efforts to reunify Central Asia. Central Asia also has no choice but to cooperate with Russia for its survival, but at the same time, it has expanded its scope of cooperation in the international community to avoid being subjugated to Russia again. However, as China's power expands, Russia's relative weakness, and wariness toward Russia increases after the Ukraine War, the gap in bilateral relations is widening. In particular, as China's influence grows, Russia's nervousness also increases. This is why Putin visits Central Asia and holds active summit talks even during the war in Ukraine. If competition between Russia and China surfaces, there is a high possibility that the international order in Central Asia will become unstable. However, it is still unlikely that the power of Russia and China will reverse in Central Asia. Above all, the security, historical, and cultural connections between Russia and Central Asia are areas that are difficult for China to catch up with. Therefore, a weakening of Russia's influence compared to the past is inevitable, but its superiority is expected to continue. If Russia breaks away from belligerence and transforms into an attractive cooperative partner, there is a possibility that bilateral relations will take an upward turn again. However, it seems unlikely that such changes and innovations will occur under the Putin regime. Therefore, the biggest obstacle to realizing Putin's goal of reunifying Central Asia is Putin himself.
KW - Russia;Central Asia;Structural realism;Ukraine war;EAEU
DO - 10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004
ER -

Park Sang Nam. (2023). Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-. Analyses & Alternatives, 7(3), 85-114.

Park Sang Nam. 2023, "Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-", Analyses & Alternatives, vol.7, no.3 pp.85-114. Available from: doi:10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004

Park Sang Nam "Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-" Analyses & Alternatives 7.3 pp.85-114 (2023) : 85.

Park Sang Nam. Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-. 2023; 7(3), 85-114. Available from: doi:10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004

Park Sang Nam. "Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-" Analyses & Alternatives 7, no.3 (2023) : 85-114.doi: 10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004

Park Sang Nam. Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-. Analyses & Alternatives, 7(3), 85-114. doi: 10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004

Park Sang Nam. Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-. Analyses & Alternatives. 2023; 7(3) 85-114. doi: 10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004

Park Sang Nam. Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-. 2023; 7(3), 85-114. Available from: doi:10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004

Park Sang Nam. "Russia-Central Asia relations -Focusing on the period after the establishment of the EAEU in 2015-" Analyses & Alternatives 7, no.3 (2023) : 85-114.doi: 10.22931/aanda.2023.7.3.004