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A Study on Changes in Cross-Strait Relations in the Post-Post-Cold War Era: An ‘Open Conclusion’ Approach

  • The Journal of Northeast Asia Research
  • Abbr : NEA
  • 2025, 40(1), pp.229~257
  • DOI : 10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.007
  • Publisher : The Institute for Northeast Asia Research
  • Research Area : Social Science > Political Science > International Politics > International Relations / Cooperation
  • Received : December 30, 2024
  • Accepted : February 23, 2025
  • Published : February 28, 2025

JooJang Hwan 1

1한신대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This article analyzes the changes in relations between China and Taiwan in the post-post-cold war era, at the beginning of the second term of the Trump administration in 2025. This article analyzes the changes in relations between China and Taiwan in the post-Cold War era, starting in 2025, when the second term of the Trump administration begins. It attempts to analyze this issue through an open approach and a dynamic analysis model of changes in bilateral relations. As a result of the study, the international order during this period was analyzed to have the characteristics of situational logic characterized by opportunism and free activity in terms of structural and cultural manifestations, which were conditional and compatible, and also in the same dimension. In addition, the two subjects of the endogenous conditions during this period were found to have different manifestation properties and situational logics in different structural and cultural dimensions. That is, China showed opportunism and free activity interaction types, while Taiwan showed a competitive interaction type similar to the Cold War. Accordingly, the scenarios of cross-strait relations during this period can be largely set into two types depending on the results of the interaction.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.

This paper was written with support from the National Research Foundation of Korea.