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A Study on the Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Safety Management in Construction Projects

  • Journal of The Korea Society of Computer and Information
  • Abbr : JKSCI
  • 2021, 26(8), pp.139-147
  • DOI : 10.9708/jksci.2021.26.08.139
  • Publisher : The Korean Society Of Computer And Information
  • Research Area : Engineering > Computer Science
  • Received : August 5, 2021
  • Accepted : August 24, 2021
  • Published : August 31, 2021

Lee Dong Yeol 1,  Kim Dong Eun 1

1대전보건대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

In this study, we proposed the possibility of reliability analysis of risk index by using Monte Carlo simulation as basic data of safety accident occurrence data and expert opinion by construction industry type. Through this, it is expected that risk index for safety accidents according to detailed types of works will be presented stochastically and it will be possible to predict the risk factors and the expected range of damage based on the reliability analysis in the construction safety management plan. It will also reduce many of the planning risks that are common to decision makers in the field of construction management. In identifying risks, road bridge construction was classified into earthworks, drainage works, and bridge construction, and possible safety accidents were classified based on expert data. The risk index was calculated for each detailed construction of road and bridge construction, drainage construction, and bridge construction.

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This paper was written with support from the National Research Foundation of Korea.
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