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The Effects of Rapid Rail Transit on Population Distribution

Lee, SeongWoo 1 Jingyu Jeong 2 지우석 3

1서울대학교
2전남과학대학
3경기개발연구원

Accredited

ABSTRACT

The purpose of the present study intends to evaluate impacts of high-speed rail transit on population distribution in Korea. Does the initiation of the transit result in the population dispersion from such developed regions as Seoul or Busan? Does construction of high-speed rail transit lead to the reduced regional disparities in terms of population distribution? To answer these questions, we construct a spatial econometric model and simulation analyses are carried out for two alternative hypothetical scenarios of the rapid rail transit network of which the first step will be initiated in April, 2004 and the completion of the transit will be made in 2010. We found that cities linked to the rapid rail corridor have population gains, however, other regions remoted from the corridor expected to lose the net migration. The loss is predicted to be particularly serious for KangWon and Northern Jolla that are far distant from the main corridor. We also found that rural areas in all regions will be losers in net population migration. The present study concludes with suggesting some policy implications that may alleviate the disparities caused by the rapid rail transit.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.