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National Territory Trends and Issues Using Integrated National Territorial Foresight Methodology

이용우 1 변세일 1 임지영 1

1국토연구원

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study is the work of predicting the national territory to live in considering the megatrends and Korean unification variables and drawing up a desirable vision on the national territory. This foresight study seeks to draw flexibly but systematically a picture of the national territory in the year of 2030. This study integrates a variety of foresight methods and builds integrated futures research methodology for the national territory. The methodology consists of a sequence of stages employing its relevant foresight methods to find megatrends and their influences on the national territory using meta analysis and futures wheel, to set the national territorial trends and issues using expert panel, public survey, and online, real-time delphi technique, to draw and analyze variables affecting national territorial issues using AHP and cross impact analysis, to develop scenarios, to build a future vision, and to propose policy sets. The multiple futures can be predicted with national territorial trends and scenarios. The ten trends and issues are proposed using integrated national territorial foresight methodology. The trends and issues are first selected by the influences of megatrends on national territory. The national territorial trends and issues are expected to show the future of the national territory in flexible and diverse ways.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.