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Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area

Shin Hyewon 1 kim chulmin 2 KOH, Kyung-Taeg 1 Kim YoungSeok 1

1한국건설기술연구원
2성결대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study aims to evaluate development projects and suggest future directions for the border regions of South Korea by analyzing the predicted resident/floating population and reclassifying development projects proposed in the "Comprehensive Development Plan for Border Areas" across 15 cities and counties. As a result, regions such as Goseong-gun, Yanggu-gun, Chuncheon-si, Yeoncheon-si, and Ganghwa-gun showed positive predictions for floating population, indicating that the direction of development projects is appropriate. However, Inje-gun, which is favorable for securing a settled population, is also emphasizing floating population, suggesting a high possibility of reduced efficiency in development projects. The negative predictions for both settled and floating populations in Cheolwon-gun, Ongjin-gun, and Hwacheon-gun suggest that these regions may face difficulties in securing efficiency for their development projects. This is because these regions have a relatively weaker willingness to prioritize floating population when pursuing development projects. Paju-si and Pocheon-si, which are favorable for securing both settled and floating populations, are focusing on projects to attract permanent and floating populations, respectively. In the case of Paju-si, it appears that establishing tourism and non-tourism industrial complexes in connection with Goyang-si and Gimpo-si would be an effective strategy. For Pocheon-si, it seems that pursuing projects to secure settled population would be more effective if centered around Sohol-eup and Naechon-myeon, which are located on the border with Yangju-si and Uijeongbu-si.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.