@article{ART003123598},
author={Shin Hyewon and kim chulmin and KOH, Kyung-Taeg and Kim YoungSeok},
title={Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area},
journal={The Korea Spatial Planning Review},
issn={1229-8638},
year={2024},
volume={122},
pages={43-58},
doi={10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003}
TY - JOUR
AU - Shin Hyewon
AU - kim chulmin
AU - KOH, Kyung-Taeg
AU - Kim YoungSeok
TI - Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area
JO - The Korea Spatial Planning Review
PY - 2024
VL - 122
IS - null
PB - 국토연구원
SP - 43
EP - 58
SN - 1229-8638
AB - This study aims to evaluate development projects and suggest future directions for the border regions of South Korea by analyzing the predicted resident/floating population and reclassifying development projects proposed in the "Comprehensive Development Plan for Border Areas" across 15 cities and counties. As a result, regions such as Goseong-gun, Yanggu-gun, Chuncheon-si, Yeoncheon-si, and Ganghwa-gun showed positive predictions for floating population, indicating that the direction of development projects is appropriate. However, Inje-gun, which is favorable for securing a settled population, is also emphasizing floating population, suggesting a high possibility of reduced efficiency in development projects. The negative predictions for both settled and floating populations in Cheolwon-gun, Ongjin-gun, and Hwacheon-gun suggest that these regions may face difficulties in securing efficiency for their development projects. This is because these regions have a relatively weaker willingness to prioritize floating population when pursuing development projects. Paju-si and Pocheon-si, which are favorable for securing both settled and floating populations, are focusing on projects to attract permanent and floating populations, respectively. In the case of Paju-si, it appears that establishing tourism and non-tourism industrial complexes in connection with Goyang-si and Gimpo-si would be an effective strategy. For Pocheon-si, it seems that pursuing projects to secure settled population would be more effective if centered around Sohol-eup and Naechon-myeon, which are located on the border with Yangju-si and Uijeongbu-si.
KW - Border Regions;Forecasting Settled/Mobile Population;Comprehensive Plan for the Development of the Border Region;Spatial Markov Model
DO - 10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003
ER -
Shin Hyewon, kim chulmin, KOH, Kyung-Taeg and Kim YoungSeok. (2024). Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area. The Korea Spatial Planning Review, 122, 43-58.
Shin Hyewon, kim chulmin, KOH, Kyung-Taeg and Kim YoungSeok. 2024, "Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area", The Korea Spatial Planning Review, vol.122, pp.43-58. Available from: doi:10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003
Shin Hyewon, kim chulmin, KOH, Kyung-Taeg, Kim YoungSeok "Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area" The Korea Spatial Planning Review 122 pp.43-58 (2024) : 43.
Shin Hyewon, kim chulmin, KOH, Kyung-Taeg, Kim YoungSeok. Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area. 2024; 122 43-58. Available from: doi:10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003
Shin Hyewon, kim chulmin, KOH, Kyung-Taeg and Kim YoungSeok. "Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area" The Korea Spatial Planning Review 122(2024) : 43-58.doi: 10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003
Shin Hyewon; kim chulmin; KOH, Kyung-Taeg; Kim YoungSeok. Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area. The Korea Spatial Planning Review, 122, 43-58. doi: 10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003
Shin Hyewon; kim chulmin; KOH, Kyung-Taeg; Kim YoungSeok. Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area. The Korea Spatial Planning Review. 2024; 122 43-58. doi: 10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003
Shin Hyewon, kim chulmin, KOH, Kyung-Taeg, Kim YoungSeok. Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area. 2024; 122 43-58. Available from: doi:10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003
Shin Hyewon, kim chulmin, KOH, Kyung-Taeg and Kim YoungSeok. "Evaluation of the ‘Comprehensive Plan for the Development of Border Areas’ based on the Prediction of the Spatial Structure of the Border Area" The Korea Spatial Planning Review 122(2024) : 43-58.doi: 10.15793/kspr.2024.122..003