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@article{ART001610132},
author={이정원 and Hyung-Jin Jeon and Yong Sung Cho and 이철민 and Kim Ki Youn and 김윤신},
title={Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007},
journal={Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment},
issn={1225-7184},
year={2011},
volume={20},
number={5},
pages={747-755}

TY - JOUR
AU - 이정원
AU - Hyung-Jin Jeon
AU - Yong Sung Cho
AU - 이철민
AU - Kim Ki Youn
AU - 김윤신
TI - Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007
JO - Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
PY - 2011
VL - 20
IS - 5
PB - Korean Society Of Environmental Impact Assessment
SP - 747
EP - 755
SN - 1225-7184
AB - This study was investigated the relationship between the temperature and the mortality of aged (≥65 yr) during the winter seasons from 1992 to 2007 in Seoul, Korea by utilizing climate data and death records. The study also estimated the future risks by employing the projections of the population in Seoul, Korea and climate change scenario of Korea from 2011 to 2030. The limitation of this study was the impossibility in the prediction of daily mortality counts. Therefore, daily death numbers could be predicted based on the future population projection for Korea and the death records of 2005. The result indicated that risks increased by 0.27%,0.52%, 0.32% and 0.41% in association with the 1˚C decrease in daily minimum temperature from the mortality counts of total, respiratory, cardiovascular, and cardiorespiratory in the past date while 0.31%, 0.42%, 0.59% and 0.66% in the future. Based on the results obtained from this study, it is concluded that the risk in the future will be higher than the past date although there is an uncertainty in estimating death counts in the future.
KW - Climate change;Mortality;General additive model;Health effect
DO -
UR -
ER -

이정원, Hyung-Jin Jeon, Yong Sung Cho, 이철민, Kim Ki Youn and 김윤신. (2011). Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, 20(5), 747-755.

이정원, Hyung-Jin Jeon, Yong Sung Cho, 이철민, Kim Ki Youn and 김윤신. 2011, "Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007", Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, vol.20, no.5 pp.747-755.

이정원, Hyung-Jin Jeon, Yong Sung Cho, 이철민, Kim Ki Youn, 김윤신 "Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 20.5 pp.747-755 (2011) : 747.

이정원, Hyung-Jin Jeon, Yong Sung Cho, 이철민, Kim Ki Youn, 김윤신. Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007. 2011; 20(5), 747-755.

이정원, Hyung-Jin Jeon, Yong Sung Cho, 이철민, Kim Ki Youn and 김윤신. "Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 20, no.5 (2011) : 747-755.

이정원; Hyung-Jin Jeon; Yong Sung Cho; 이철민; Kim Ki Youn; 김윤신. Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, 20(5), 747-755.

이정원; Hyung-Jin Jeon; Yong Sung Cho; 이철민; Kim Ki Youn; 김윤신. Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment. 2011; 20(5) 747-755.

이정원, Hyung-Jin Jeon, Yong Sung Cho, 이철민, Kim Ki Youn, 김윤신. Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007. 2011; 20(5), 747-755.

이정원, Hyung-Jin Jeon, Yong Sung Cho, 이철민, Kim Ki Youn and 김윤신. "Association between Cold Temperature and Mortality of the Elderly in Seoul, Korea, 1992-2007" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 20, no.5 (2011) : 747-755.