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Prediction of Heating and Cooling Energy Consumption in Residential Sector Considering Climate Change and Socio-Economic

이미진 1 Lee, Dong Kun 2 Park Chan 2 Park Jin Han 2 Tae Yong Jung ORD ID 3 김상균 4 홍성철 4

1서울대학교 대학원
2서울대학교
3연세대학교
4국립환경과학원

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ABSTRACT

The energy problem has occurred because of the effects of rising temperature and growing population and GDP. Prediction for the energy demand is required to respond these problems. Therefore, this study will predict heating and cooling energy consumption in residential sector to be helpful in energy demand management, particularly heating and cooling energy demand management. The AIM/end-use model was used to estimate energy consumption, and service demand was needed in the AIM/end-use model. Service demand was estimated on the basis of formula, and energy consumption was estimated using the AIM/end-use model. As a result, heating and cooling service demand tended to increase in 2050. But in energy consumption, heating decreased and cooling increased.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2022 are currently being built.