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Low Volatility Anomaly and Stock Returns

  • Asset Management Review
  • Abbr : AMR
  • 2016, 4(1), pp.1~16
  • Publisher : Institute of Management Research, SungKyunKwan University
  • Research Area : Social Science > Business Management > Finance

Jinho Byun 1 Hyung-Suk Choi 1 Kim Su-in 2

1이화여자대학교
2이화여자대학교 경영연구소

Candidate

ABSTRACT

We investigate if low volatility anomaly is observed mainly in a certain market condition. We expect that low volatility anomaly can be explained by investor’s judgement bias depending on the market condition. To examine how low volatility anomaly depends on the market condition, we use coincident composite index, reference turning date and sentiment index to divide the market condition into boom and recession. Our analysis results show that high-risk stock return has been lower than low-risk stock return since the early 2000s, especially during the recession. This results suggest that the investor’s judgement bias is observed markedly during the recession since high-risk stock is overvalued in the boom and then overvalued high-risk stock return declines in the recession. This study contributes to the literature by showing the association between low volatility anomaly and the market condition. We provide empirical evidence that the investor’s judgement is affected by the market condition. Our findings suggest the strategy of investing low-risk stock portfolio depending on the market condition to raise returns and diminish risk simultaneously.

Citation status

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