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Machine learning-optimized pre-carbonization process for sugar-based carbon fibers

  • Carbon Letters
  • Abbr : Carbon Lett.
  • 2026, 36(1), pp.467~479
  • DOI : 10.1007/s42823-025-00998-0
  • Publisher : Korean Carbon Society
  • Research Area : Natural Science > Natural Science General > Other Natural Sciences General
  • Received : June 26, 2025
  • Accepted : December 20, 2025
  • Published : February 1, 2026

Cao Wenping 1 Tu Jiabin 1 Chen Wanxiaonan 1 Zhang Linsen 1 Lin Qianru 1 Sheng Jie 1

1Harbin University of Commerce

Accredited

ABSTRACT

Sugar-derived carbon fibers (SBCFs) emerge as a promising next-generation sustainable material due to their biomass origin, cost-effectiveness, and superior strength-to-weight ratio. However, industrial adoption remains hindered by inefficient optimization of complex pre-carbonization processes. Here, we present a machine learning (ML)-driven framework to address this challenge, integrating experimental data to establish quantitative correlations between pre-carbonization parameters (temperature, dwell time) and mechanical performance. Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) achieved superior predictive accuracy (R2 = 0.857 for tensile strength), enabling efficient identification of optimal conditions: 220 °C pre-carbonization temperature with 100 min dwell time. Experimental validation confirmed a 5.60% tensile strength enhancement over baseline protocols. Optimized protocols yield fibers with 874 MPa tensile strength and 76 GPa modulus, with an average diameter of 28 μm. This machine learning-driven methodology not only advances SBCF manufacturing but also establishes a generalizable paradigm for accelerating functional material development.

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