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The Study of Change Motives to Sustainable Development and Systematic Foresight Model: Around Loveridge's Foresight Theory & Drive Set

  • Crisisonomy
  • Abbr : KRCEM
  • 2012, 8(3), pp.21-44
  • Publisher : Crisis and Emergency Management: Theory and Praxis
  • Research Area : Social Science > Public Policy > Public Policy in general

LEE DONG KYU 1 김철희 2 Choonseok Kim 3

1동아대학교
2새누리당 중앙당사
3(주)한국리서치 갈등관리센터

Accredited

ABSTRACT

Since complexity characteristics of system that earth and sustainability continue by Huggett are refered first, discussions about development that do existing human circumstance and sustainability and continuance possibility are gone. This study progressed study that is current trend of opinion what change same persons who development that future generations satisfies own claim, and does continuance possibility with these discussions should considers so that is possible are. First to specific contents, confirm concept because adjusts existent discussion about sustainability and sustainable development and draws mode of life economics connected with this and map(map) for macroscopic system from industry mode of life school register viewpoint. Second, with macroscopic system, extract substance of microscopic low rank system in same persons who should be considered by human's long-term claim. Third, wish to suggest study plan for estimate complex world future the future because considers macroscopic system map and microscopic same persons and forecast about circle the future. This study approaches in side that is search in dynamic change of response variables that is not positive access through past empirical study, and accomplishes whole system. Therefore, this study present necessity of study and study plan that is intention the future through result of this study. This study used system thinking and simulation technique recognizing link pattern mutually between element by method of study for this. In this study, I wish to discover feedback structure that makes person and map and is indwelled to system taking advantage of system dynamics technique.

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