Impact Assessment of Water Quality in the Yeong-san River under Climate Change (BASINS-HSPF 기후변화가 하천수질에 미치는 영향평가)

이석호; 이병현; Kim Byung Sik (김병식); 민선홍

Impact Assessment of Water Quality in the Yeong-san River under Climate Change

Crisisonomy
Abbr : KRCEM
2015, 11(10), pp.257-272
Publisher : Crisis and Emergency Management: Theory and Praxis
Research Area : Social Science > Public Policy > Public Policy in general

이석호 ¹, 이병현 ¹, Kim Byung Sik ¹, 민선홍 ¹

¹강원대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

The future climate projection based on international climate change scenarios expected that changes in hydrological circulation and the ecosystem would be inevitable in the future because of higher temperature and more rainfall events.Moreover, because the rapid urbanization and industrial development led accelerated land development and increased the impermeable layer’s size, the river water pollution caused by non point source(NPS) pollutants is expected to worsen(Ministry of Environment, Water Environmental Management Plan). The result of this study showed that, in the future, the number of rainy days would increase and the temperature would be 4℃ higher than the current temperature. As a result of these changes, runoff was expected to increase by 54% in the future. In terms of changes in NPS pollution loadings, BOD, T-N, and T-P were expected to increase by 216%, 54%, and 50%, respectively.

KEYWORDS

BASINS/HSPF, non point source, RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios, river water quality

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.

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