본문 바로가기
  • Home

The Expansion of North Korean Markets and Government Responses

  • The Journal of Northeast Asia Research
  • Abbr : NEA
  • 2026, 41(1), pp.5~32
  • DOI : 10.18013/jnar.2026.41.1.001
  • Publisher : The Institute for Northeast Asia Research
  • Research Area : Social Science > Political Science > International Politics > International Relations / Cooperation
  • Received : December 27, 2025
  • Accepted : February 23, 2026
  • Published : February 28, 2026

Kim, Do Young 1

1육군사관학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

Since the collapse of the socialist planned economy, the North Korean government has maintained strategic ambiguity by neither fully institutionalizing nor completely suppressing market activities (jangmadang). This study interprets this pattern not as a temporary policy inconsistency, but as an endogenous equilibrium generated by strategic interactions between the state and citizens. We formalize the interaction between enforcement intensity and market participation using an evolutionary game framework combining a Stackelberg game with replicator dynamics and conduct numerical simulations based on calibrated parameters. The results indicate that sanctions-induced resource shortages can weaken distribution capacity and increase incentives for market participation, while under certain conditions reinforcing surveillance and control mechanisms. In contrast, increased external assistance tends to alleviate enforcement costs and constrain market participation. These findings suggest that North Korea’s dual economic structure reflects mutual adaptation between regime survival strategies and citizens’ livelihood-oriented behavior, highlighting the non-linear and context-dependent nature of state-market relations.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2024 are currently being built.