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Evaluation of the environment for a Korea-Japan FTA and prospects for the FTA

CHEONG INKYO 1 Jung-ran Cho 2

1인하대학교
2인하대학교 정석물류통상연구원

Candidate

ABSTRACT

The official negotiation for a Japan and Korea FTA began at the end of 2003, without substantial confidence for mutual gains from the conclusion of the FTA. As the differences of positions about major issues in the bilateral FTA negotiation were rather enlarged more under the negotiation period of 2003-2004, the negotiation was finally suspended at the end of 2004. Moreover, political relations between Korea and Japan were worsened due to then-Japanese Prime Minister Koizumi's paying homage to Japanese shrine, in addition to territory issue about the Dokdo Island and the textbook with distorted interpretation on history. While Japan has been active in requesting Korea for resuming the negotiation for a Japan-Korea FTA after President Lee, Myong-Bak took office February 2008, Japan does not seem to be enthusiastic in devising the contents for balancing economic gains from the bilateral FTA. Still, the government of Korea is not sure for economic gains from structural adjustment with the FTA. However, Korea signed the FTA with US in April 2007 and is under final stage for conclusion for an FTA with EU, and Korean industries will be under structural adjustment in a few years. implying that economic gains/losses from structural adjustment under an FTA with Japan should be reassessed. In general, it can be summarized that political environment for a Korea-Japan FTA is improved now than past. However, unless Korea become confident about inducing 'a win-win FTA' with Japan, Korea should not resume official negotiation for a FTA with Japan. Also Japan should pay more attention for preparing menus for making a mutually beneficial FTA, rather than pushing the resumption of the negotiation. Otherwise, simple resumption of negotiation will entail another failure in the road of a Japan-Korea FTA.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.