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Research on Selecting Influential Climatic Factors and Optimal Timing Exploration for a Rice Production Forecast Model

  • Journal of The Korea Society of Computer and Information
  • Abbr : JKSCI
  • 2023, 28(7), pp.57-65
  • DOI : 10.9708/jksci.2023.28.07.057
  • Publisher : The Korean Society Of Computer And Information
  • Research Area : Engineering > Computer Science
  • Received : July 6, 2023
  • Accepted : July 25, 2023
  • Published : July 31, 2023

Jin-Kyeong Seo 1 Da-Jeong Choi 1 Juryon Paik 1

1평택대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

Various studies to enhance the accuracy of rice production forecasting are focused on improving the accuracy of the models. In contrast, there is a relative lack of research regarding the data itself, which the prediction models are applied to. When applying the same dependent variable and prediction model to two different sets of rice production data composed of distinct features, discrepancies in results can occur. It is challenging to determine which dataset yields superior results under such circumstances. To address this issue, by identifying potential influential features within the data before applying the prediction model and centering the modeling around these, it is possible to achieve stable prediction results regardless of the composition of the data. In this study, we propose a method to adjust the composition of the data's features in order to select optimal base variables, aiding in achieving stable and consistent predictions for rice production. This method makes use of the Korea Meteorological Administration's ASOS data. The findings of this study are expected to make a substantial contribution towards enhancing the utility of performance evaluations in future research endeavors.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.

This paper was written with support from the National Research Foundation of Korea.