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Do Political News Affect Financial Markets? Evidence from Exchange Rate and Investor Trading Behavior in Korea

  • Journal of The Korea Society of Computer and Information
  • Abbr : JKSCI
  • 2026, 31(2), pp.241~248
  • DOI : 10.9708/jksci.2026.31.02.241
  • Publisher : The Korean Society Of Computer And Information
  • Research Area : Engineering > Computer Science
  • Received : November 28, 2025
  • Accepted : January 20, 2026
  • Published : February 27, 2026

Jieun Kim 1 Zoonky Lee 1 Dojoon Park 2

1연세대학교
2국립공주대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study examines the influence of political news related to the issue of martial law on the foreign exchange rate and trading behavior of different investor groups (institutional, individual, and foreign) in Korean stock market. Political news articles from major South Korean and U.S. media outlets were collected and analyzed using GPT-4o API-based prompt engineering for sentiment analysis. Regression results indicate that the constructed weekly sentiment index significantly affects the KRW/USD exchange rate. Institutional investors tend to buy stocks when sentiment is positive and sell when it is negative, whereas retail investors exhibit the opposite pattern. Foreign investors did not show a statistically significant response to political sentiment. Overall, the findings demonstrate that political news sentiment influences both the exchange rate and investor trading behavior.

Citation status

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