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Rethinking the Resource Curse Thesis in Fragile and Conflict-affected Contexts: Analysis of the Patterns and Relative Conditions of Diversification in Sub-Saharan Africa (2001-16)

  • Journal of Regional Studies and Development
  • Abbr : JRSD
  • 2019, 28(2), pp.161-193
  • DOI : 10.22739/ipaid.2019.28.2.161
  • Publisher : Institute for Poverty Alleviation and International Development: IPAID
  • Research Area : Social Science > Area Studies > Regional Studies in general > Comparative / Statistical Regional Studies
  • Received : May 21, 2019
  • Accepted : July 3, 2019
  • Published : August 30, 2019

Jisun Yi 1

1경희대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

Is it (im)possible for Sub-Saharan Africa to achieve growth through industrial and export diversification? And how do the conditions of natural resources, armed conflict, and weak government capacity interact with the diversification progress in the region? To address these questions, this paper delves into the recent phenomenon of diversification in SSA’s 13 fragile and conflict-affected states. A time-series analysis shows that some diversification does occur across the country group but largely in a boom and bust cycle, which leads to an inefficient performance of growth from the perspective of sustainable, long-term development. Although the resource curse thesis has been a major explanation of the erratic performance of resource-rich African countries, the following evidence suggests otherwise: among the conflict-experiencing SSA economies, the presence of ample resources appears to work as a factor in differentiating country’s diversification performance within the country group. Relatively speaking, the SSA countries with different levels of war experience and state fragility do not perform differently in terms of diversifying their industrial and export bases.

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This paper was written with support from the National Research Foundation of Korea.