The Korea Spatial Planning Review 2023 KCI Impact Factor : 1.2
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pISSN : 1229-8638
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Spatial Interpretation on Political Orientations: An Empirical Analysis of the 16~17th General Election in Seoul Metropolitan Area
- The Korea Spatial Planning Review
- 2014, 81(), pp.35-53
- DOI : 10.15793/kspr.2014.81..003
- Publisher : 국토연구원
- Research Area :
Jaehee Hwang 1, Lee, SeongWoo 2
1서울대학교 농경제사회학부
2서울대학교
Accredited
ABSTRACT
In terms of the voting behavior, political orientations in the local constituencies have a decisive influence on the election results. This study approaches the spatial analysis on the political orientations shown in 16~17th general election of SMA(Seoul Metropolitan Area), incorporating spatial econometrics and GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression) with discrete dependent variable. In order to interpret spatially collective political preference, it is selected as dependent variable to whether saenuri-party is elected in each constituency. Moreover, the explanatory variables are specified by constituency-specific percentage of place of birth, diploma level, and 20~30s age bracket. It sequentially conducts LISA(Local Indicator of Spatial Association) analysis to identify hot- and cold-spot for the variables based on GWR coefficients. The result provides an understanding of the electoral geography and dynamics of spatially varying voting behavior within SMA. Additionally, the results can be discussed as part of a research agenda for exploring spatial dependence and heterogeneity in research focusing on electoral geography and regional planning.
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