@article{ART002220232},
author={Hyeyeong Choe and James H. Thorne and Lee, Dong Kun},
title={Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea},
journal={Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment},
issn={1225-7184},
year={2017},
volume={26},
number={2},
pages={114-126},
doi={10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114}
TY - JOUR
AU - Hyeyeong Choe
AU - James H. Thorne
AU - Lee, Dong Kun
TI - Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea
JO - Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
PY - 2017
VL - 26
IS - 2
PB - Korean Society Of Environmental Impact Assessment
SP - 114
EP - 126
SN - 1225-7184
AB - Many studies on climate change and its impacts use a single climate scenario. However, one climate scenario may not accurately predict the potential impacts of climate change. We estimated temperature and precipitation changes by 2070 using 17 of the CMIP5 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and two emission scenarios for three spatial domains: the Asian continent, six East Asia countries, and South Korea. For South Korea, the range of increased minimum temperature was lower than for the ranges of the larger regions, but the range of projected future precipitation was higher. The range of increased minimum temperatures was between 1.3 ˚C and 5.2 ˚C, and the change in precipitation ranged from - 42.4 mm (- 3.2%) and + 389.8 mm (+ 29.6%) for South Korea. The range of increased minimum temperatures was between 2.3 ˚C and 8.5 ˚C for East Asia countries and was between 2.1 ˚C and 7.4 ˚C for the Asian continent, and the change in precipitation ranged from 28.8 mm (+ 6.3%) and 156.8 mm (+ 34.3%) for East Asia countries and from 32.4 mm (+ 5.5%) and 126.2 mm (+ 21.3%) for the Asian continent. We suggest climate change studies in South Korea should not use a single GCM or only an ensemble climate model’s output and we recommend to use GFDL-CM3 and INMCM4 GCMs to bracket projected change for use in other national climate change studies to represent the range of projected future climate conditions.
KW - Climate Scenario;CMIP5;Minimum Temperature;Precipitation;RCP
DO - 10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
ER -
Hyeyeong Choe, James H. Thorne and Lee, Dong Kun. (2017). Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, 26(2), 114-126.
Hyeyeong Choe, James H. Thorne and Lee, Dong Kun. 2017, "Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea", Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, vol.26, no.2 pp.114-126. Available from: doi:10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
Hyeyeong Choe, James H. Thorne, Lee, Dong Kun "Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 26.2 pp.114-126 (2017) : 114.
Hyeyeong Choe, James H. Thorne, Lee, Dong Kun. Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea. 2017; 26(2), 114-126. Available from: doi:10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
Hyeyeong Choe, James H. Thorne and Lee, Dong Kun. "Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 26, no.2 (2017) : 114-126.doi: 10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
Hyeyeong Choe; James H. Thorne; Lee, Dong Kun. Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, 26(2), 114-126. doi: 10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
Hyeyeong Choe; James H. Thorne; Lee, Dong Kun. Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment. 2017; 26(2) 114-126. doi: 10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
Hyeyeong Choe, James H. Thorne, Lee, Dong Kun. Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea. 2017; 26(2), 114-126. Available from: doi:10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
Hyeyeong Choe, James H. Thorne and Lee, Dong Kun. "Comparing climate projections for Asia, East Asia and South Korea" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 26, no.2 (2017) : 114-126.doi: 10.14249/eia.2017.26.2.114
