기후변화에 따른 한반도 사스레피나무의 생육지 예측과 영향 평가 (Habitat Prediction and Impact Assessment of Eurya japonicaThunb. under Climate Change in Korea)

윤종학; 박정수 (Jung-Soo Park); 최종윤 (Jong-Yun Choi); 中尾勝洋 (Katsuhiro Nakao)

doi:10.14249/eia.2017.26.5.291

Habitat Prediction and Impact Assessment of Eurya japonicaThunb. under Climate Change in Korea

Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
Abbr : J EIA
2017, 26(5), pp.291-302
DOI : 10.14249/eia.2017.26.5.291
Publisher : Korean Society Of Environmental Impact Assessment
Research Area : Engineering > Environmental Engineering

윤종학 ¹, Jung-Soo Park ², Jong-Yun Choi ³, Katsuhiro Nakao ⁴

¹국립생태원생태평가팀
²국립생태원 생태평가연구실
³국립생태원
⁴일본산림총합연구소 식물생태학 연구실

Accredited

ABSTRACT

The research was carried out in order to find climate factors which determine the distribution of Eurya japonica, and the potential habitats (PHs) under the current climate and climate change scenario by using species distribution models (SDMs). Four climate factors; the warmth index (WI), the minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC), summer precipitation (PRS), and winter precipitaion (PRW) : were used as independent variables for the model. Seventeen general circulation models under RCP (Representative concentration pathway) 8.5 scenarios were used as future climate scenarios for the 2050s (2040~2069) and 2080s (2070~2099). Highly accurate SDMs were obtained for E. japonica. The model of distribution for E. japonica constructed by SDMs showed that minimum temperature of the coldest month (TMC) is a major climate factor in determining the distribution of E. japonica. The area above the -5.7℃ of TMC revealed high occurrence probability of the E. japonica. Future PHs for E. japonica were projected to increase respectively by 2.5 times, 3.4 times of current PHs under 2050s and 2080s. It is expected that the potential of E. japonica habitats is expanded gradually. E. japonica is applicable as indicator species for monitoring in the Korean Peninsula. E. japonica is necessary to be monitored of potential habitats.

KEYWORDS

Species distribution model, Indicator, Potential habitats

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.

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Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 2023 KCI Impact Factor : 0.51

Habitat Prediction and Impact Assessment of Eurya japonicaThunb. under Climate Change in Korea

ABSTRACT

KEYWORDS

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.

Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 2023 KCI Impact Factor : 0.51

Habitat Prediction and Impact Assessment of Eurya japonicaThunb. under Climate Change in Korea

ABSTRACT

KEYWORDS

Statistics

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REFERENCES (36) * References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.

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* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.