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An Empirical Analysis on U.S. President Evaluation: The Relationship between Presidential Approval Ratings and Historical Perspectives

  • Korean Society and Public Administration
  • Abbr : KSPA
  • 2004, 15(2), pp.23-48
  • Publisher : Seoul Association For Public Administration
  • Research Area : Social Science > Public Administration

가상준 1 Kim Hyok 2

1경희대학교
2서울시립대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

Reviewing the evaluation jobs on Presidents up until now, we can find that there are two groups to work on them, that is, professionals and general public. The evaluations made by both subjects appear to have their own unique attributes: professional evaluation tends to be output-orientated and retrospective while the approval ratings made by the masses seems to be prospective as well as retrospective. This study aims to investigate empirically whether two approaches have any similarities or differences. The results show that there is no significant statistical correlation between them except the public persuasion category among the detail items of historical evaluation. In other words, professionals rate high the public persuasion skills of the Presidents who get high approval ratings, but not the rest of fields. At the same time, this study finds that a President with high popularity is not necessarily great one, which will influence the direction of Presidential governance in the future.

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