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Russia-Ukraine War and a Change in the International Order

  • Analyses & Alternatives
  • Abbr : A&A
  • 2022, 6(2), pp.5~36
  • DOI : 10.22931/aanda.2022.6.2.001
  • Publisher : Korea Consensus Institute
  • Research Area : Social Science > Social Science in general
  • Received : June 14, 2022
  • Accepted : July 10, 2022
  • Published : July 31, 2022

JANG SE HO 1

1국가안보전략연구원

Accredited

ABSTRACT

The Russia-Ukraine War was a “three-layer compounded war” between the US and Russia, Russia and Ukraine, and Ukrainian government forces and rebels. First, the war is a phenomenon that occurred when the western sphere of influence seeking to maintain and strengthen the liberal international order and the Sino-Russian sphere of influence seeking a new alternative order collided in Ukraine, a geopolitical fault zone. Second, this war is the result of a typical ‘security dilemma’ phenomenon caused by the ‘chain reaction’ game of NATO's continuous expansion and Russia's response. Third, the Russia-Ukraine war was caused by the Russian military projection to prevent the military restoration of Donbas region by Ukraine. Until now, the Western world, led by the US, showed unexpected solidarity after the war despite subtle differences in positions. However, the non-Western world, including China, is not participating in the condemnation and sanctions against Russia. This war will be an important turning point in the existence and change of the current international order that has been formed and is operating since the end of the Cold War. The direction of maintenance/restoration, revision/change, and end/transformation of the current international order is highly likely to be determined depending on the development pattern and method of ending the war.

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