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Predicting Disaster Vulnerability in Gangwon Province Using the Disaster Risk Index Based on RCP 8.5 Climate Change Scenarios

  • Crisisonomy
  • Abbr : KRCEM
  • 2016, 12(11), pp.85-97
  • Publisher : Crisis and Emergency Management: Theory and Praxis
  • Research Area : Social Science > Public Policy > Public Policy in general

Dae Ju Hwang 1 Suk Ho Lee 2 김문모 3 Kim Byung Sik 2

1삼척시청
2강원대학교
3신구대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

There is a growing concern over climate change all over the world, particularly due to the impact of extraordinary climate. The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) predicted that the annual average temperature of the earth would increase by 2.3°C in 2050 and by 4.8°C in 2100. It was also predicted that the annual average temperature in Korea would increase by 3.2°C in 2050 and by 6°C in 2100. This study aims to find out an effective measure against climate change that recently emerged as the global issue, through a disaster vulnerability analysis for flood, drought, intense heat, and heavy snow. The disaster vulnerability index was calculated separately for the present (2000) and the future (2020 and 2050). The results revealed that Yeongdong region and Wonju city were the most vulnerable in 2000. In addition, Sokcho, Gangneung, and Chuncheon cities were predicted to be the most vulnerable in 2020 and the central region of Gangwon would be the most vulnerable in 2050.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2022 are currently being built.