@article{ART003183680},
author={남완수 and Dae-yeob Yoon},
title={Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy},
journal={The Journal of Northeast Asia Research},
issn={2005-4432},
year={2025},
volume={40},
number={1},
pages={111-145},
doi={10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004}
TY - JOUR
AU - 남완수
AU - Dae-yeob Yoon
TI - Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy
JO - The Journal of Northeast Asia Research
PY - 2025
VL - 40
IS - 1
PB - The Institute for Northeast Asia Research
SP - 111
EP - 145
SN - 2005-4432
AB - As North Korea’s nuclear threat has advanced, discussion on South Korea’s nuclear strategy have also begun in earnest. While the extended deterrence strategy of the Korea-U.S. alliance is being strengthened, there is even an independent theory of nuclear armament with nuclear potential. However, despite the diversified nuclear strategy discussion, the overall assessment of North Korea’s nuclear threat level is insufficient. This paper aims to analyze the actual level of North Korean nuclear threat and suggest conventional nuclear integration(CNI) deterrence measures suitable for the level of threat. To this end, the level of threat is analyzed by evaluating the offensive capabilities and offensive intentions of North Korea’s nuclear weapons based on Walt’s theory of threat balance and the nuclear posture of Narang’s regional powers. The North Korean nuclear threat level is classified into nine types, and extended deterrence measures by nuclear and deterrence measures by triaxial systems are integrated and presented for each threat level. It presents complementary points for measures to curb the current North Korean nuclear threat level and suggests development measures for conventional nuclear integration between South Korea and the U.S.
KW - North Korea’s Nuclear Threat;Offensive Capabilities and Intentions;Extended Deterrence;Triaxial Systems;CNI
DO - 10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
ER -
남완수 and Dae-yeob Yoon. (2025). Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy. The Journal of Northeast Asia Research, 40(1), 111-145.
남완수 and Dae-yeob Yoon. 2025, "Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy", The Journal of Northeast Asia Research, vol.40, no.1 pp.111-145. Available from: doi:10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
남완수, Dae-yeob Yoon "Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy" The Journal of Northeast Asia Research 40.1 pp.111-145 (2025) : 111.
남완수, Dae-yeob Yoon. Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy. 2025; 40(1), 111-145. Available from: doi:10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
남완수 and Dae-yeob Yoon. "Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy" The Journal of Northeast Asia Research 40, no.1 (2025) : 111-145.doi: 10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
남완수; Dae-yeob Yoon. Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy. The Journal of Northeast Asia Research, 40(1), 111-145. doi: 10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
남완수; Dae-yeob Yoon. Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy. The Journal of Northeast Asia Research. 2025; 40(1) 111-145. doi: 10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
남완수, Dae-yeob Yoon. Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy. 2025; 40(1), 111-145. Available from: doi:10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
남완수 and Dae-yeob Yoon. "Analysis of North Korea’s Nuclear Threat Level and Conventional Nuclear Integration Deterrence Strategy" The Journal of Northeast Asia Research 40, no.1 (2025) : 111-145.doi: 10.18013/jnar.2025.40.1.004
