@article{ART002004468},
author={SHIN YONG HEE and 정휘철},
title={Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios},
journal={Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment},
issn={1225-7184},
year={2015},
volume={24},
number={3},
pages={205-216},
doi={10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205}
TY - JOUR
AU - SHIN YONG HEE
AU - 정휘철
TI - Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios
JO - Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
PY - 2015
VL - 24
IS - 3
PB - Korean Society Of Environmental Impact Assessment
SP - 205
EP - 216
SN - 1225-7184
AB - The CMIP5 climate change scenarios from 34 GCMs were analyzed to quantitatively assess future changes in temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation against the global region and the Northeast Asia region with a focus on South Korea, North Korea, or Japan. The resulting projection revealed that the Northeast Asia region is subjected to more increase in temperature and precipitation than the global means for both. In particular, temperature and precipitation in North Korea were projected to increase about 5.1°C and 18%, respectively under the RCP 8.5 scenario, as compared to the historical means for 30 years (1971-2000), although a large uncertainty still exists among GCMs. For solar radiation, global mean solar radiation was predicted to decrease with time in all RCP scenarios except for the RCP 2.6 scenario. On the contrary, it was predicted that the amount of solar radiation in the Northeast Asia increases in the future period.
KW - Climate Change;CMIP5;RCP Scenario;Uncertainty
DO - 10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
ER -
SHIN YONG HEE and 정휘철. (2015). Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, 24(3), 205-216.
SHIN YONG HEE and 정휘철. 2015, "Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios", Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, vol.24, no.3 pp.205-216. Available from: doi:10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
SHIN YONG HEE, 정휘철 "Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 24.3 pp.205-216 (2015) : 205.
SHIN YONG HEE, 정휘철. Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios. 2015; 24(3), 205-216. Available from: doi:10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
SHIN YONG HEE and 정휘철. "Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 24, no.3 (2015) : 205-216.doi: 10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
SHIN YONG HEE; 정휘철. Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment, 24(3), 205-216. doi: 10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
SHIN YONG HEE; 정휘철. Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios. Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment. 2015; 24(3) 205-216. doi: 10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
SHIN YONG HEE, 정휘철. Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios. 2015; 24(3), 205-216. Available from: doi:10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
SHIN YONG HEE and 정휘철. "Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios" Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 24, no.3 (2015) : 205-216.doi: 10.14249/eia.2015.24.3.205
