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Estimation of Peak Water Level Based on Observed Records and Assessment of Inundation in Coastal Area – A Case Study in Haeundae, Busan City –

Saekyul Ahn 1 Lee, Dong Kun 1

1서울대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

For impact assessment of inundation in coastal area due to sea level rise (SLR), model for estimating future peak water level was constructed using observed mean sea level (MSL), storm surge level (SSL) data and calculated tide level (TL) data. Based on time series analysis and quadratic polynomial model for SLR and Monte-Carlo simulation for IC, SSL and TL, 100-year return peak water level is expected to be 2.3, 2.6, 2.8m, respectively (each corresponding to year 2050, 2080, 2100). Further analysis on future potential inundation area showed U-dong, Yongho-dong, Songjeongdong, Jaesong-dong to be at high risk.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2023 are currently being built.