Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment 2023 KCI Impact Factor : 0.51
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pISSN : 1225-7184
- https://journal.kci.go.kr/kseia
KJCKorea
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Analysis of Future Bioclimatic Zones Using Multi-climate Models
- Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
- Abbr : J EIA
- 2018, 27(5), pp.489-508
- Publisher : Korean Society Of Environmental Impact Assessment
- Research Area : Engineering > Environmental Engineering
Yuyoung Choi
1,
Lim, Chul-Hee
2,
Jieun Ryu
3,
JEON SEONG WOO
1
1고려대학교
2고려대학교 생명자원연구소
3고려대학교 환경 GIS/RS 센터
Accredited
ABSTRACT
As climate changes, it is necessary to predict changes in the habitat environment in order to establish more aggressive adaptation strategies. The bioclimatic classification which clusters of areas with similar habitats can provide a useful ecosystem management framework. Therefore, in this study, biological habitat environment of Northeast Asia was identified through the establishment of the bioclimatic zones, and the impac of climate change on the biological habitat was analyzed. An ISODATA clustering was used to classify Northeast Asia (NEA) into 15 bioclimatic zones, and climate change impacts were predicted by projecting the future spatial distribution of bioclimatic zones based upon an ensemble of 17 GCMs across RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios for 2050s, and 2070s. Results demonstrated that significant changes in bioclimatic conditions can be expected throughout the NEA by 2050s and 2070s. The overall zones moved upward, and some zones were predicted to be greatly expanded or shrunk where we suggested as regions requiring intensive management. This analysis provides the basis for understanding potential impacts of climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem. Also, this could be used more effectively to support decision making on climate change adaptation
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