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A Study on the Forecasting of Library Service with Scenarios

  • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
  • Abbr : JKLISS
  • 2004, 35(4), pp.361-375
  • Publisher : Korean Library And Information Science Society
  • Research Area : Interdisciplinary Studies > Library and Information Science

Noh, Dongjo 1

1상명대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study was to predict through the scenarios, one of the forecast technique, the future of library service. In order to do that literature reviews, analysis of library's home page and specialist interview were conducted. As a result, it appeared that based on the scenarios to predict the middle future(after 5-10 years) of library service. The results of this study are as follows. The first, the future information environment is represented by mobile and ubiquitous. Through this, anytime, anywhere, any device, we can be taken any media. The second, the unreliable factors come out in time lag, the supply speed of terminals, library services, copyrights and so on. The third, as the supply speed of technique and the speed of technological development, the speed of technological development and the solution speed of digital copyright problem, these make various scenarios. The fourth, library try to find unreliable factors in constant change of the information technique, variety of internal factors. And strategy needs to dispose of various scenarios properly.

Citation status

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