2023, Vol.38, No.2

The Journal of Northeast Asia Research 2023 KCI Impact Factor : 0.75

pISSN : 2005-4432
https://journal.kci.go.kr/inas

Great power is attributed to Goliath in international politics seen in light of the relations between David and Goliath. In the era of strategic competition between great powers, ironically, guerilla warfare has changed the conventional battlefield. Ukraine as David neutralized flagships of the Black Sea Fleet two times while mobilizing suicide drones on a seemingly conventional battlefield. These cases show that guerilla warfare is gathering pace under great power politics. Ironically, the build-up of the strongest forces driven by a massive amount of military expenditure does not always lead to strengthening security. What drives this irony? Two variables have roles to play. The New Cold War is characterized by not only the reemergence of great power politics but also the spread of cutting-edge tech. The mechanism that arming more strategic weapons does not lessen security vulnerability is defined as a new security dilemma. Two cases, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and North Korea’s drone invasion, are examined to take a look at how new security dilemma functions. To conclude, this paper provides five policy implications: 1) overcoming bureaucratic politics 2) optimizing between high and low weapons 3) building fusion-infra 4) diagnosing North Korea’s possible provocations 5) examining the dynamic characteristics of the New Cold War.

The purpose of this study is to examine the continuation and change of Korean Peninsula policy in the midst of changes in the Chinese grand strategy during the Xi Jinping era, and to analyze the impact of China’s grand strategy on Korean Peninsula policy through US-China relations, Korea-China relations, and North Korea-China relations. In particular, this study will argue that the Chinese Korean Peninsula policy is not directly emphasized in the Chinese grand strategy during the Xi Jinping era, but this strategy is closely related to the Korean Peninsula policy. Lastly, in preparation for China's grand strategy and policy on the Korean Peninsula, we will derive the strategy for China and policy implications in terms of our unification policy toward North Korea, regional foreign policy, and security policy.

Which incumbents are likely to be re-elected in the 8th State Duma election? Existing studies on the elite circulation of parliament have mainly measured the range of circulation by the turnover ratio of incumbent or the entry ratio of freshmen. However, these studies do not explain who maintains political survival and has continuity within the structure of the parliament elite. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the factors affecting the re-election of the 7th State Duma incumbent. The probability of re-election varies depending on the elite type, representative type, and term of incumbent. Former professional officials, former corporate managers, district members, multi-term incumbent were more likely to be re-elected. However, when analyzed by dividing into district and proportional representation members, the effects of each variable were different. In the case of district members, personal factors such as elite types affect re-election, while in the case of proportional representation factors, term and party factor affect it. The significance of this study is that it has revealed the effect of characteristics of incumbent on re-election, beyond comparing the ratio of personnel composition in research on the elite circulation of the Russian parliament.