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A Study on the Influence of the Ukraine War on the Relations between the USA and China

  • Journal of Asia-Pacific Studies
  • Abbr : JAPS
  • 2023, 30(4), pp.35-59
  • DOI : 10.18107/japs.2023.30.4.002
  • Publisher : Institute of Global Affairs
  • Research Area : Social Science > Social Science in general
  • Received : November 9, 2023
  • Accepted : December 4, 2023
  • Published : December 30, 2023

Shin Sang Hyup 1

1경희대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

Ukraine war started on February 23th, 2022 is going on for a quite long time, which is different from the many people’s prediction. We do not know when and how the war will end. What is certain is the war is changing the existing global order which was built based on liberalism and multilateralism, formed after the end of cold war era. In fact the war is resulting in disconnectedness between and among nations in the world. There are three scenarios on how the war will end; the scenario where the war ends with Russia win, the scenario where the war ends with Ukraine win, and the scenario where the war ends through negotiations without winner at the war. Among these, the scenario where the war ends through negotiations without winner at the war has the highest possibility and reality. This is because of several reasons such as USA and key European countries’ policies on the war, Russia and China’s policies on the war, skeptical results of a survey of public opinion on continuing the war in Europe and so on. Depending on the contents of the negotiations for the end of war the relations between USA and China could be similar to the relations before the war, or could be more competitive in order to win at the competition for hegemony power in the world. The US-China relations could be better than those before the war, which has no much possibility to happen.

Citation status

* References for papers published after 2022 are currently being built.