Journal of the Association of Korean Geographers 2023 KCI Impact Factor : 1.35
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pISSN : 2287-4739 / eISSN : 2733-8991
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Application of Relative Favorability Function Model for Land-use and Land-cover Change (LUCC) Prediction in South Korea
- Journal of the Association of Korean Geographers
- Abbr : JAKG
- 2018, 7(3), pp.463-478
- DOI : 10.25202/JAKG.7.3.14
- Publisher : Association of Korean Geographers
- Research Area : Social Science > Geography
- Received : October 16, 2018
- Accepted : November 30, 2018
Dongwoo Kim 1, Kim Jang-soo 2, Man Kyu Kim 3
1한국환경정책·평가연구원
2공주대학교 지역개발연구소
3공주대학교 지리학과
Accredited
ABSTRACT
Various LUCC forecasting models are being used to predict future land-use and land-cover change (LUCC) as interest in natural environment conservation and human sustainable life increases. This study analyzes the past LUCC regularities of the entire South Korean region using the Relative Favorability Function (RFF) model and evaluates the applicability of future LUCC predictions. Based on the Land Cover Map and Analysis Indicators in 1990 and 2000, the RFF model was developed to predict land cover in 2010 and compared with land cover maps and accuracy verification in 2010. As a result of the study, the Kappa coefficient for accuracy verification was 82.3%, confirming the applicability of the RFF model. Certain types of land covering were under-estimated and over-estimated. Typically, the area of cities and bare land is over-estimated in Seoul metropolitan region and regional metropolises. It was under-estimated in areas such as Sejong City where land was changed to cover by urban planning.
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This paper was written with support from the National Research Foundation of Korea.