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The Impact of Real Estate Tax Reform Expectations on Residents' Consumption Willingness: A Study on the Mediating Effect of Housing Account Salience

  • Industry Promotion Research
  • Abbr : IPR
  • 2026, 11(1), pp.483~495
  • DOI : 10.21186/IPR.2026.11.1.483
  • Publisher : Industrial Promotion Institute
  • Research Area : Interdisciplinary Studies > Interdisciplinary Research
  • Received : December 16, 2025
  • Accepted : January 16, 2026
  • Published : January 31, 2026

Meng Zhang 1 Jaehyung Bark 2

1중국 길림성 경제관리간부학원
2세한대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study investigates the impact of real estate tax reform expectations on residents' consumption willingness and its underlying psychological mechanism through the lens of mental accounting theory. The research targets a sample of urban homeowners in China, who possess direct financial sensitivity to such policy changes. A stratified random sampling method was employed, categorizing cities by their level of economic development, with data collected via an online survey platform. Statistical analyses included reliability tests (Cronbach's α), exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses (EFA/CFA), path analysis using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM), and bootstrapping for mediation effect testing. Valid survey data from 400 residents reveal that real estate tax reform expectations not only directly suppress consumption willingness but also exert an indirect negative effect by heightening the "salience of the housing account." This finding fully elucidates the mediating transmission pathway of "policy signal → psychological cognition → behavioral decision." The findings emphasize the critical importance of proactive expectation management in the policymaking process and provide empirical support for designing equitable tax reforms that minimize adverse shocks to household consumption.

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