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A Study on the Prediction of Crime Probability by month using Markov Chains

  • Journal of Knowledge Information Technology and Systems
  • Abbr : JKITS
  • 2011, 6(1), pp.69-77
  • Publisher : Korea Knowledge Information Technology Society
  • Research Area : Interdisciplinary Studies > Interdisciplinary Research
  • Published : February 28, 2011

박정민 1 park koo rack 1

1공주대학교

Candidate

ABSTRACT

Scientists are researching continuously about prediction of various crimes in modern society. However, the needs of additional research are increasing. So this paper proposes a new crime prediction modeling apply to Markov chains. The result of using this crime prediction modeling was similar to the number of actual criminal occurrence when I inputted 3 kinds of criminal data. The analysis of correlation coefficient between the actual number of criminal occurrence and the number of predicted criminal occurrence proved the effectiveness of the crime prediction modeling. The analysis of correlation coefficient between the actual number of criminal occurrence and the number of predicted criminal occurrence proved the effectiveness of the crime prediction modeling.

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