2020, Vol.30, No.2

Korea Real Estate Review 2023 KCI Impact Factor : 0.56

pISSN : 2092-5395 / eISSN : 2733-8339
https://journal.kci.go.kr/krer

In this work, we study how the risk of jeonse deposit losses and the late payments of the monthly rents affect the jeonse-monthly rent conversion rate. Understanding jeonse-monthly rent conversion rates is critical in analyzing the South Korean rental housing market due to the multi-layered contract types of jeonse-monthly rent with security deposit-monthly rent present in the market. Our model of jeonse-monthly rent conversion rate contributes to the literature on balance between the jeonse and monthly rent markets by explicitly modeling such risks and combining it with the previous theoretical framework. The results show that the conversion rate increases along with the jeonse-price ratio, and that the value of the lessors’ put option increases along with the market interest rate.

Population growth and decline have been major topics in the social science field, such as urban and regional planning and housing policy. The purpose of this study was to determine the direction and magnitude of population movement and the factors that would have a deciding role in population movement between regions. According to the existing population theories, the push-and-pull factor between regions and the threshold model can be used for estimating population movement. In this study, the net financial benefit model was adopted to find out the determinants between Gangwon Province and other areas. The results of the empirical study are as follows. First, most of the variables were effective in household migration, especially population density, income level, housing cost, and medical institutions. Second, contrary to the expectations, urban density was not a meaningful factor in selecting migration areas for the old generations. The empirical results showed that Gangwon Province needs to set up a more business-friendly environment, and to control the housing cost.

In general, apartment prices tend to fall over time due to aging. In the case of Gangnam, Seoul, however, where the demand is still high, the prices rise again after a certain period of time due to the reconstruction expectations. In this regard, this study aims to determine the time period for reaching the lowest apartment price in a time series, whether apartment prices fall as the age after construction completion increases and rebound from a few years due to the expected effect of reconstruction. Towards this end, 11 districts south of Han River were analyzed for the correlations among housing, location, and reconstruction-related characteristics and apartment prices. As expected, the estimation results confirmed that the apartment prices gradually fell and then rose again as the age after construction completion increased. The older the house is, the older the building age, the lower the quality of the housing service, and the lower the price becomes accordingly, but as the reconstruction time nears, the uncertainty about the acquisition of the house, which can be acquired after reconstruction, can be reduced, indicating that the price becomes higher. In addition, the inflection point was not accelerating in the market even though the standard period required before reconstruction was changed to 30 years. It is believed that the reason for this is that the current housing market in Seoul is being lifted, and as such, the sales ceiling and regulations on the maintenance business are reducing the possibility that the reconstruction project will be carried out.