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An Application of EGARCH-M Model on Analysing Real Estate Market with CAPM

  • Korea Real Estate Review
  • 2014, 24(4), pp.195-205
  • Publisher : korea real estate research institute
  • Research Area : Social Science > Law > Law of Special Parts > Law of Real Estate

Roh, Sangyoun 1 Min, Seonghun 2

1국민연금연구원
2수원대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

An analysis on the real estate market with CAPM was conducted using EGARCH-M model which contains stock return as well as average real estate market return as the proxy of market return in the CAPM formula. The empirical results suggest that: first, stock market return is significant as market return when using EGARCH-M model contrary to most previous literature using OLS, second, there is time-varying non-systemic risk premium in real estate market, third, the variance of return is asymmetric to the market information, forth, the correlation of stock return and real estate return is turned to positive(+) after Oct. 2009, last, the correlation of average real estate return and real estate return decreased after Oct. 2009.

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