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An Analysis on Kazakhstan Power Succession in 2019: Institutionalization of Power Duopoly

  • Asia Review
  • Abbr : SNUACAR
  • 2020, 10(1), pp.185~211
  • Publisher : 아시아연구소
  • Research Area : Social Science > Social Science in general
  • Received : June 15, 2020
  • Accepted : July 27, 2020
  • Published : August 31, 2020

DOWON YUN 1

1연세대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This paper analyzes the case of Kazakhstan power succession in 2019. The succession of power is pointed out as one of the most threatening aspects in the continuation of authoritarian spells. However, the authoritarian ruling coalition of Kazakhstan achieved stable power succession through abdication in 2019. This type of power succession minimized uncertainty in the succession process, although the possibility of conflict between the incumbent and predecessor is present in the abdication. Kazakhstan sought to control this conflict through institutionalization of power duopoly. Such institutionalization is known to attribute toward the resolution of commitment and collective action problem among the elites in the ruling coalition. The Kazakhstan way of power succession will continue to be observed in the future from other personalist authoritarian regimes. With the rising wave of autocratization and the increasing number of personalist authoritarian regimes, the power succession through abdication will remain as a significant option for personalist dictators.

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