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Vietnam’s Hedging Strategy based on Critical Geopolitics

  • Asia Review
  • Abbr : SNUACAR
  • 2025, 15(3), pp.321~354
  • Publisher : 아시아연구소
  • Research Area : Social Science > Social Science in general
  • Received : October 10, 2025
  • Accepted : December 15, 2025
  • Published : December 31, 2025

Vietnam’s Hedging Strategy based on Critical Geopolitics 1

1한국국방연구원

Accredited

ABSTRACT

While existing studies of the hedging strategy have focused on hedging behavior, researchers have paid little attention to the geopolitical considerations underlying the hedging strategy. Furthermore, few studies have opened the ‘black box’ of the hedging states to observe the guidelines of policymakers regarding the implementation of a hedging strategy. Against this backdrop, this paper aims to examine how Vietnam, a middleground power situated at the intersection of spheres of influence of the U.S. and China, employs a hedging strategy to leverage its geopolitical value in the Trump 2.0 era. To this end, it captures the critical geopolitical thinking evident in the Communist Party of Vietnam’s discourse and clarifies the party’s guidelines for implementing a hedging strategy. To ensure analytical rigor, the concept of hedging is redefined to apply specifically to the security area. The paper then proceeds to examine Vietnam’s discreet efforts to align itself with countries that share common security interests. This paper argues that Vietnam is leveraging its geopolitical value, which could impact strategic stability in the South China Sea. Amid an increasingly unstable security situation due to intensifying U.S.-China strategic competition, the formation of an intermediate-level alignment with the U.S. to check China is a possible consideration for Vietnam. At the same time, Vietnam is seeking to maximize its geopolitical value in terms of infrastructure and supply chain connectivity to offset its risks. In anticipation of a multi-polar world emerging around 2030, Vietnam is seeking political and economic alignment with China.

Citation status

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