@article{ART003285354},
author={Ting Lei},
title={Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu},
journal={Asia Review},
issn={2234-0386},
year={2025},
volume={15},
number={3},
pages={355-388}
TY - JOUR
AU - Ting Lei
TI - Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu
JO - Asia Review
PY - 2025
VL - 15
IS - 3
PB - 아시아연구소
SP - 355
EP - 388
SN - 2234-0386
AB - Elucidating the trajectory of landscape ecological risk in Chengdu provides an empirical basis for ecological risk management within the city's jurisdiction, holding important practical value for promoting urban sustainable development. Through five periods of land use data covering the period of 2000-2020, this paper employs the landscape pattern index method to evaluate the landscape ecological risk index for the corresponding years in an effort to delineate the evolving patterns of the risk over time and space. To identify the clustered distribution of landscape ecological risk, we conducted a spatial autocorrelation analysis. Using the MOP-FLUS model, the geographical arrangement of landscape categories under four distinct 2035 scenarios is projected, enabling predictions of future landscape ecological risk trends. The findings reveal the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the overall landscape ecological risk in Chengdu showed a declining trend, and the risk level structure continued to optimize; (2) the landscape ecological risk index presented an overall pattern of "lower in the west and higher in the east," with low-risk areas consistently clustered in the western ecological barrier and with high-risk areas persistently concentrated in the central plains; (3) multi-scenario simulations demonstrate that Ecological-Priority Development scenario can effectively control the expansion of high-risk areas, representing the optimal pathway for maintaining regional ecological sustainability.
KW - Landscape type;Landscape ecological risk;Multi-scenario;MOP-FLUS model
DO -
UR -
ER -
Ting Lei. (2025). Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu. Asia Review, 15(3), 355-388.
Ting Lei. 2025, "Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu", Asia Review, vol.15, no.3 pp.355-388.
Ting Lei "Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu" Asia Review 15.3 pp.355-388 (2025) : 355.
Ting Lei. Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu. 2025; 15(3), 355-388.
Ting Lei. "Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu" Asia Review 15, no.3 (2025) : 355-388.
Ting Lei. Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu. Asia Review, 15(3), 355-388.
Ting Lei. Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu. Asia Review. 2025; 15(3) 355-388.
Ting Lei. Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu. 2025; 15(3), 355-388.
Ting Lei. "Sustainable Development Pathways for Plain Cities from a Multi-Model Integration Perspective: A Case Study of Chengdu" Asia Review 15, no.3 (2025) : 355-388.
