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Announcement and Withdrawal Effect of Residential Redevelopment on Residential Housing Market

  • Korea Real Estate Review
  • 2022, 32(1), pp.7-23
  • DOI : 10.35136/krer.32.1.1
  • Publisher : korea real estate research institute
  • Research Area : Social Science > Law > Law of Special Parts > Law of Real Estate
  • Received : December 14, 2021
  • Accepted : March 18, 2022
  • Published : March 31, 2022

Sim, Jun Ho 1 Jihwan Kim 1 Changha Jin 1

1한양대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study examines the announcement and withdrawal effects of redevelopment on residential housing price. Based on 15,540 multifamily housing transaction data from 2006 to 2018, we adopt the difference-in-difference method to examine a possible asymmetric effect of announcement and withdrawal of redevelopment project in Seoul. We find that the positive announcement effect exists with a 10% premium observed in the Seongbuk area, whereas a significant decrease is determined in the residential housing price in the Yeondeoungpo area. We attribute this to the increasing concerns about the 2018 Global Financial Crisis. Moreover, regarding the withdrawal effect of redevelopment, we find a decrease of 19% and 9% in both areas. Thus, the relative announcement and withdrawal effects of redevelopment are statistically significant. Therefore, communication with public and private participants is crucial to minimize a possible loss of social welfare.

Citation status

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