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@article{ART001088445},
author={soowon mo},
title={Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance},
journal={Journal of Tourism Sciences},
issn={1226-0533},
year={2005},
volume={29},
number={2},
pages={317-336}

TY - JOUR
AU - soowon mo
TI - Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance
JO - Journal of Tourism Sciences
PY - 2005
VL - 29
IS - 2
PB - The Tourism Sciences Society Of Korea
SP - 317
EP - 336
SN - 1226-0533
AB - At present there are numerous forecasting methods available. After reviewing these methods, this study estimates the Korean outbound and inbound tourists based on the econometric models. Two types of quantitative forecasting models were considered in this paper, time series and causal econometric model. The paper proceeds by comparing the forecasting performances of the structural models with those of the nonstructural model such as Box-Jenkins Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, concluding that the former outperforms the latter. Author also shows that while the outbound tourists increase rapidly, the inbound tourists increase slowly and the balance of trade deficit is expected to grow fast.
KW - balance of tourism;RMSE;GPH;ARIMA;structural model
DO -
UR -
ER -

soowon mo. (2005). Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance. Journal of Tourism Sciences, 29(2), 317-336.

soowon mo. 2005, "Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance", Journal of Tourism Sciences, vol.29, no.2 pp.317-336.

soowon mo "Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance" Journal of Tourism Sciences 29.2 pp.317-336 (2005) : 317.

soowon mo. Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance. 2005; 29(2), 317-336.

soowon mo. "Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance" Journal of Tourism Sciences 29, no.2 (2005) : 317-336.

soowon mo. Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance. Journal of Tourism Sciences, 29(2), 317-336.

soowon mo. Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance. Journal of Tourism Sciences. 2005; 29(2) 317-336.

soowon mo. Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance. 2005; 29(2), 317-336.

soowon mo. "Forecasting Tourism Demand and Tourist Balance" Journal of Tourism Sciences 29, no.2 (2005) : 317-336.