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The Dynamic Relationship Between Stock-Market-Related Variables and Apartment Purchases by Young Households in Seoul : Evidence from Korea Composite Stock Price Index(KOSPI) Returns, Investor Deposits, and Individual Net Buying

  • Korea Real Estate Review
  • 2026, 36(3), pp.57~79
  • DOI : 10.35136/krer.36.3.3
  • Publisher : korea real estate research institute
  • Research Area : Social Science > Law > Law of Special Parts > Law of Real Estate
  • Received : April 3, 2026
  • Accepted : September 18, 2026
  • Published : September 30, 2026

Jung, Sung Hwa 1,  Wanhee Park 1,  Lee, Sang-Gun ORD ID 1,  Jung, Duk Yeon 1

1서강대학교

Accredited

ABSTRACT

This study uses monthly data from February 2019 to January 2026 to examine the dynamic relationships among Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) returns, changes in investor deposits, individual net buying, and apartment purchases by young households in Seoul. Vector autoregressions (VARs) (1), (2), and (5) are used as baseline, supplementary, and extended specifications, respectively, while controlling for the pandemic and the Bank of Korea base rate. VAR(1) reveals no significant stock-market-related variables. In VAR(2), only KOSPI returns show limited predictive power, which weakens after controlling for the base rate. KOSPI returns and investor deposits are significant in VAR(5); however, the investor-deposit result is not reproduced in the shorter-lag models. Because these findings are sensitive to lag length and macro-financial controls, they should be interpreted as preliminary evidence of limited, exploratory aggregate-level dynamic relationships rather than causal evidence of fund transfers.

Citation status

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